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#8992 1 day ago
Curious to see how the midterms go this week. The polls (including but not just betting) are looking really bad for republicans and economy not that great, I think they would need to rig it to win either house tbh
#8999
>>9024
17 hours ago
Polls have been demonstrated time and again to be unreliable. Personally I've not been polled since I lived with my boomer parents years ago, and then I was polled multiple times an election.

Personally of course I'm rooting for mass deportations.
#9024 11 hours ago
>>8999
I agree polling is mostly inaccurate but it's different this time because it's unusually bad and not just in the polling, other metrics are not really good, republicans have incumbent disadvantage, trump's polling is worse than it's ever been I think, trump keeps getting heckled at rallies more than before and you had the epstein controversy and iran war, inflation and gas prices are not good. Betting markets have also been better than regular polling and are unkind to republicans at the moment. Even the messaging I've seen from republicans is so low energy and morale like "yeah it looks bad but just trust us" I think JD Vance has been saying that

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